Moneyline Monday: Best Bets for December 26

And we’re through the Christmas season, and that means it’s bowl week. We’ve got college football matchups all week long leading up to the playoff, as well as NHL action, college basketball conference games and the return of the Premier League. In short, it’s a great time to make some bets.

If you’re off today, you’ve got plenty of options today. If you’re not, there are still several late games available to make plays. Here are my best bets for December 26.


I expect points, and I think the Falcons produce the lion’s share of them. Bowling Green has made progress over the past two seasons, and New Mexico State only got here by facing the nation’s weakest schedule. The only team the Aggies beat all year who made a bowl was Liberty, and that because the Flames fell apart after injuries. Playing indoors should allow Bowling Green to throw all over the Aggies.


On the surface, it makes no sense to back the Senators after Ottawa’s dropped three in a row. It makes even less sense to back them against Boston, with the Bruins winning four in a row. But Ottawa historically plays well against the Bruins and already bested them at home this season. This is a trap game for Boston off the holiday, and I think the Senators spring the trap.


Both the Capitals and the Rangers are hot right now, having won eight of nine. But New York has Washington’s number in the Garden. The Rangers have won six of eight against the Capitals at home, and they’ve won four straight at home overall. New York’s been the more consistent team this season, and I think they survive Washington today.


On the other side of New York, the Islanders and Penguins tend to play high-scoring matchups. The over looks very enticing here, but we’re playing some moneyline matchups today. And in a moneyline situation, the Isles are at home and the Penguins give up far too many shots. Plus, New York has the stronger goaltender. The Isles offer value here.


I’m worried about this game because the Chargers could get caught napping. But the Colts appear completely done, and there doesn’t seem to be much to suggest backing them. The only reason to take Indianapolis is their rubber-banding history at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts historically play up to their competition at home, going 19-7-1 ATS against teams above. 500. They’ve already lucked their way into a win over Kansas City, and I’m worried they do the same with a cover against Los Angeles. But I think the Chargers need this game too much to blow the moneyline.

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