CFB

Week 13 Computer Plays, Power 5

It’s Thanksgiving Day and it’s Rivalry Week, so it’s time to get the computer’s plays on the docket. Maybe the computer doesn’t like the cameras, because in the week where Pace and I took off because of scheduling conflicts, the computer cleaned up on the spread, going 34-21 ATS.

Hopefully, that gets straightened out. We’ll see if the computer can build off that momentum for the last week of the regular season.

ACC

LAST WEEK: 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS

NORTH CAROLINA (-6.5) BY 6 OVER NC STATE

FLORIDA STATE (-9.5) BY 9 OVER FLORIDA

CLEMSON (-14.5) BY 11 OVER SOUTH CAROLINA

WAKE FOREST (-3.5) BY 1 OVER DUKE

SYRACUSE (-10.5) BY 11 OVER BOSTON COLLEGE

PITTSBURGH (-6.5) BY 8 OVER MIAMI

I’m not hesitating here: I want a teaser of Carolina and Florida State, mainly because I think both State and Florida are pretty weak. I might only tease by a point each, or I might go four points and get even more of a cushion with South Carolina. I still do not believe in Clemson, even after last week’s rout of Miami (who I also don’t believe in at all). Wake Forest-Duke feels like a trap to me. The Blue Devils have improved greatly, but they’ve still gotten creamed three years in a row by the Deacons. I don’t want to risk a fourth.

BIG 12

LAST WEEK: 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS

TEXAS (-8.5) BY 12 OVER BAYLOR

OKLAHOMA STATE (-8.5) BY 11 OVER WEST VIRGINIA

TCU (-10) BY 13 OVER IOWA STATE

TEXAS TECH (+2) BY 6 OVER OKLAHOMA

KANSAS STATE (-11) BY 22 OVER KANSAS

I don’t see K-State letting Kansas take away their trip to Arlington, especially not in Manhattan. The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning 16 of 17 against the Jayhawks in Bill Snyder Family Stadium since Bill Snyder showed up at K-State. This should work well for them. Texas Tech plays Oklahoma at home, and the Red Raiders have proven a different beast in Lubbock. They’ve got a good chance to reach seven wins here.

BIG TEN

LAST WEEK: 5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS

IOWA (-10.5) BY 19 OVER NEBRASKA

OHIO STATE (-7.5) BY 10 OVER MICHIGAN

MARYLAND (-14) BY 18 OVER RUTGERS

PURDUE (-10.5) BY 7 OVER INDIANA

WISCONSIN (-3.5) BY 1 OVER MINNESOTA

ILLINOIS (-14.5) BY 18 OVER NORTHWESTERN

PENN STATE (-18.5) BY 21 OVER MICHIGAN STATE

I really like Penn State here, because Michigan State cannot stop the run. The Spartans need a win to reach a bowl, but the Nittany Lions are trying to earn a New Year’s Six bid, and their freshman tandem should be ready to roll. Without Blake Corum on the field, Michigan seems to be cooked as far as taking on Ohio State. The Wolverines haven’t won in Columbus since 2000, and I don’t think that changes.

PAC-12

LAST WEEK: 6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1 PERFECT PICK

ARIZONA (-4) BY 3 OVER ARIZONA STATE

UCLA (-10) BY 10 OVER CALIFORNIA

OREGON (-3) BY 1 OVER OREGON STATE

UTAH (-29.5) BY 34 OVER COLORADO

USC (-5.5) BY 3 OVER NOTRE DAME

WASHINGTON STATE (+1.5) BY 5 OVER WASHINGTON

BYU (-6.5) BY 1 OVER STANFORD

Exactly what more does Washington State have to do to earn respect? The Cougars don’t have a bad loss on the season, they’ve won three straight and they’re at home. And yet they’re still getting points here. I like the Apple Cup to remain in Pullman here. Utah also looks good here, because Colorado’s season will rank among football’s most awful crimes.

SEC

LAST WEEK: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS

MISSISSIPPI (-2.5) BY 3 OVER MISSISSIPPI STATE

ARKANSAS (-3) BY 7 OVER MISSOURI

GEORGIA (-35.5) BY 45 OVER GEORGIA TECH

LOUISVILLE (+3) BY 1 OVER KENTUCKY

ALABAMA (-22) BY 28 OVER AUBURN

LSU (-10) BY 7 OVER TEXAS A&M

TENNESSEE (-14) BY 24 OVER VANDERBILT

I have no idea why Kentucky is favored here. Louisville is playing good football right now and Kentucky appears to be backsliding. The Wildcats have owned this rivalry in recent years, but the Cardinals look the stronger side here. Alabama tends to crush Auburn in Tuscaloosa, and the Tide should be looking to rout a Tiger team that’s really been inconsistent at best.

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