We’ve still got two days left of Nations League, so there’s a few good options available for Monday bets. There’s also a Monday night football game that isn’t appointment television, but it is an opportunity. These will get better in a month once hockey, playoff baseball and other sports join the Monday party, but for now, we have to do what we can.
This marks the final round of Nations League, so it’s important to know who still has reason to care and who’s done trying. Case in point: if you jumped on the Faroe Islands at home to a Turkey side that clearly did not care after wrapping up promotion, you made some quality coin on Sunday.
Here are my best bets for September 25.
GERMANY ML, +195
I’m not sure why England is favored here. The Three Lions played poorly in this window and earned relegation, and now they face Germany. Quite frankly, if England keeps this up, it might not make it out of Group B in Qatar. Germany hasn’t looked much better, but at least it’s scoring goals in open play.
England, conversely, doesn’t have a single goal outside of a set piece in Nations League. Only San Marino can say the same, which speaks to how poor England have been. The opportunity is there to take a shot on Germany at nearly double your money.
HUNGARY-ITALY DRAW, +220
This is a winner-take-all situation for the group, with the winner advancing to the Nations League Finals. However, Hungary doesn’t have to win to advance; it just needs to get a point. Italy, on the other hand, has to win to qualify for the Nations League Finals, and I’m not so sure that the Azzurri is capable of that here. Hungary has played inspired soccer in this window, and I think it can get a draw.
FINLAND ML, +195
The numbers say that Montenegro should be favored at home. But I can’t get out of my head the idea that the Brave Falcons are going to mail this in because they’re already safe from relegation. Finland, however, must win to avoid dropping to League C, and I think the Eagle-Owls can handle it after winning the reverse fixture. A double chance would be safer, but we’re going moneyline here.
GEORGIA/ESTONIA ML PARLAY, -240
It’s a juice play, but with three plus-money plays on the table, we need a sure win on the table. Georgia has already locked down promotion, but there’s little to no chance that the Crusaders blow one to the weakest side in League C. Ditto for Estonia, which faces San Marino. If you know anything about San Marino, you should know that they’ve won one match ever and it was 18 years ago.
COWBOYS ML, -105
The Giants look like one of the softest 2-0 teams ever, and I think the Cowboys can exploit that here. Even though Dallas is without Dak Prescott, the Cowboys are the stronger of the two teams, and getting them at almost even money is a strong play in this situation.