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Moneyline Monday: Best Bets for July 11

So far, the women’s Euros are treating me well. Things looked a little bit dicey when France jumped on Italy for a 5-0 lead, but the Italians only needed one to win my bet, and one was what they got. That’s four straight matches where my play has come through, so I’m hoping the other shoe isn’t going to drop anytime soon.

We’ve got more action from the Euros today, plus some CONCACAF action, so there are plenty of plays available. Here are my best bets for July 11.

AUSTRIA AND BTTS, +180

Northern Ireland isn’t here just to make up the numbers. The Green and White Army will go all out to find a goal, and they managed to slide three past Austria in two meetings during qualification for next year’s Women’s World Cup. They’re coming off a 4-1 loss to Norway, so while they’re clearly overmatched in this group, they will keep fighting for a marker throughout this despite the disadvantage.

Austria, meanwhile, did what it needed to do in its opener and kept its margin of defeat to just one goal to England. They need to put up some numbers here, so you might also want to look at Austria and O3.5 at +145, as the Austrians need a stronger goal differential than Norway in order to dictate play on the final day. But with the Northern Irish pushing, I think they find a goal.

ENGLAND ML, -225

This is a tough one to pick, as I think England is getting a bit too much love here. The Three Lionesses did what they needed to do against Austria in the opener, but they didn’t look fantastic in getting that result. Norway dominated early against Northern Ireland, but there was a sense that a stronger team would have punished the Grasshoppers for a few of the mistakes they made. I think England triumphs here, but I don’t want to get too risky on this one.

UNITED STATES AND U4.5, +120

This is a tough one, because the United States could easily drop five or six on Mexico with how overmatched Mexico has looked in this tournament. But there’s a trend here: the past four matches have all finished either 4-0 or 3-0 to the USWNT. They’re likely going to hold back a bit in this one because they don’t need a huge result in order to win their group and prepare for the semifinals.

CANADA AND U3.5, +115

Costa Rica’s women have been improving a fair amount, and while they’re still not on Canada’s level and nowhere close to the United States, they can keep the match relatively low-scoring. Costa Rica hasn’t yet conceded in the tournament (granted, neither has Canada), and the last time the teams met, the Canadians won by only 1-0, so another lower-scoring match looks likely.

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