Monday tends to work out pretty well for me when I’ve got enough plays at my disposal, and that was the case again, as four of my five plays cashed. Of course, the one exception came from the baseball world, which is why I’m trying to limit the time I spend there as best as I can.
I’m going to have to dip into baseball plays here and there over the next two months, but I’m definitely not going to make baseball a large part of my strategy. For me, it’s not as bad as trying to bet the NBA, but it’s certainly far more random than I would prefer. Here are my best bets for June 21.
ALIZE CORNET ML, -170
After finally solving Anna Kalinskaya in her last match (Cornet had lost her past two tournaments to Kalinskaya), I think Cornet is in good shape to continue to make a run here in Berlin. She won’t have the crowd on her side, as she’s facing a German in Tatjana Maria, but Cornet is ranked 62 spots higher than Maria and should be able to build off a straight sets win last time out.
KUPS WIN TO NIL, +110
This matchup has been a nightmare for Oulu, which has been shut out in four straight meetings against KuPS. Oulu are playing stronger this season, but they did lose 3-0 at home to KuPS earlier this year, and they’re trying to do the hardest thing in the Veikkausliiga: win consecutive matches at HJK and KuPS. I think Oulu’s going to have a Helsinki hangover and fail to find the net here.
KTP WIN TO NIL, +205
Is it a risk? Absolutely, given how KTP screwed up a goaltender clearance last week that led to a Jaro goal and a 2-2 draw. But KTP are undefeated at Arto Tolsa Areena in Ykkonen play in 2022, and PK-35 doesn’t have a win to its name in the Ykkonen away from its ground. With PK-35 having failed to score in three of its six away matches in the Ykkonen and KTP having conceded just twice this season at home, the value lies on the win to nil, even if it’s a nervy play.
LIGHTNING ML, -105
Well, well, well, it seems the Lightning’s demise was a tad premature. The Bolts were left for dead after getting buried 7-0 by Colorado, but they have been the better team in two out of three games in this series. With Tampa Bay getting the second line change, the Lightning got the matchups they wanted and took control of the game. I think Tampa Bay can do it again and even the series.
MEMPHIS 901 AND O2.5, +105
Memphis has scored 10 goals in its past two home matches, which gives me a lot of confidence that 901 can keep the goals coming in this matchup. Tulsa’s leaky defense is the other reason I’m confident, because the Flycatchers have allowed 29 goals to find the mesh, worse than any Eastern Conference side outside of Atlanta United 2. With Memphis soaring at home, I think 901 comes up with a solid attacking performance.
ORIOLES ML, -125
I always regret it when I back the Orioles, but I apparently never learn anything. Neither do the Nationals, who keep sending Patrick Corbin to the mound and watching him get whacked over and over. Corbin has given up at least three runs in nine of his past 10 starts (granted, two of those starts saw him give up fewer than three earned runs), which says that the only question is whether Washington can score enough to offset his struggles. Against Tyler Wells, that’s unlikely; Baltimore has won five of his past six starts.