It’s been a while since I’ve written here, but the time seems right. Game 5 of the NBA finals, a crucial game in a 2-2 series.
I see value on a side here so we are hitting it.
This pick falls into so many smart betting categories for me. The Celtics are undefeated this playoffs after a loss, and no team has won back-to-back games in this series, at least not yet. The Zig Zag is fully on track so far, and we get a 4-point cushion. (I’m gonna sprinkle ML too because you just gotta)
The main thing that concerns me is the Warriors out-rebounding the Celtics 55-42 in Boston last game. I think this game the Celtics will put more effort into enforcing their size on the Warriors much as they did in Game 3. The Celtics won the rebounding battle 47-31 in Game 3, they need another effort like that in San Fransico tonight.
I’m gonna look for some props as well, but I think at this point you have to at least sprinkle the Warriors 3rd quarter Moneyline. They’ve been incredible coming out of halftime all playoffs long. Look for the Celtics to make plenty of adjustments, because it is very hard to beat a team as good as the Warriors when you’re giving them a 10+ point win in a quarter.
I’d love to see a more efficient effort from Jayson Tatum shooting-wise. I think as long as he keeps facilitating the way he can and adding efficient buckets this is a straight-up win on the road for the C’s. The +4 is a nice buffer, but I have also sprinkled the Celtics ML just because of the Zig-Zag theory and Boston’s ability to bounce back from a bad loss in the playoffs.
— Dave Portnoy (@stoolpresidente) June 3, 2022
Best of luck!