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Saturday Slate: Best Bets for June 11

Whenever you can start the morning with a win, it’s usually a sign of good things to come. That’s what happened today with Ukraine winning to nil over Armenia, and hopefully, we’ve got a few more winners to come today. Yesterday was a 2-3 day with my picks thanks to Andorra finding an attack and Denmark losing theirs, but Slovakia more than made one of the two wins count by winning me 11 units on one match, as I successfully called them to win, win to nil, win and have under 2.5 goals and pitch a shutout. The only play I didn’t make was a correct score of 1-0 at +500, but I got more than enough out of that match.

Anyway, here are my best bets for June 11.


We know what to do with a match in Dublin: play under 2.5 goals. However, at -225, there’s not enough value on that play today, so we’re going to add a Scotland double chance to the equation. Scotland has played well in the window so far and takes Nations League seriously, as without it, the Scots would not have participated in Euro 2020. Ireland has looked very poor and has never scored a goal in a Nations League match, so I’m not worried about a show of firepower from the Boys in Green. If you want to be more aggressive, you can snag Scotland and U2.5 at +335, but I want insurance against a patented 1-1 Scotland draw.


The Faroe Islands are at home, but they have not scored in 2022 and they’re down two starters after picking up a pair of red cards in their 1-0 defeat to Luxembourg. That should allow Lithuania to recover a little after getting thrashed 6-0 by Turkey last time out. The Rinktine are also a poor side, but they should be able to match the Faroes in terms of quality. This could very well finish 0-0.


Michigan’s defense appears to have given up. The Panthers have been shredded for no fewer than 26 points in five consecutive weeks and have given up 30 or more in three straight games. New Jersey should be able to fine-tune things against the Panthers, so as long as Michigan doesn’t completely stop trying on offense, we should get an over out of this one. The Panthers have hit 20 or more in four of their past five, and that’s all we need from them here.


I think the Gamblers’ defensive stand last week in holding Tampa Bay to 13 points says more about the Bandits’ offensive issues than it does about Houston. Birmingham has no such issues and should be ready to open things up a little more than in last week’s dress rehearsal for the playoffs against New Orleans. I think the Stallions hit the gas here.


Romania have looked so poor with their finishing in this tournament, and it’s clear that this is a side that has a long way to go to be competitive with UEFA’s top teams. Finland haven’t looked great, but they should have enough to beat a side that isn’t putting anything home at the moment.


Every game except the first has seen exactly five goals, so this is a situation where you pay the juice and just go for the win. These goalies have been great all series long, and I’m not going against either one of them here.

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