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Tuesday Totals: Best Bets for June 7

Sometimes, everything works out according to plan and a bet easily cashes, and sometimes, you take one of the most indirect routes possible to success. Yesterday was the latter, as two of my moneyline bets quickly flamed out on me when Slovakia lost to Kazakhstan at home and Iceland couldn’t find a winner against Albania. Throw in Latvia failing to find the net more than once, and the start of the day looked bleak.

However, Denmark and Aruba then came up with wins, Andorra-Moldova and Belarus-Azerbaijan both showed no attacking threat at all and the Avalanche pulled out an epic comeback, ending the series by overcoming a pair of two-goal deficits and finding the winner in the extra session. So I had to wait for the wins to start coming, but come they did. I’ll gladly take it and move on to Tuesday; here are my best bets for June 7.

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES-AUSTRALIA UNDER 1.5 GOALS, +170

This is risky, and if you’re worried about it, I recommend a No on Both Teams to Score at -140. The UAE has kind of fallen apart outside of Dubai as of late, as the Sons of Zayed have lost their past four games outside of the Emirates to nil, getting outscored 8-0 (five of those came from Qatar). Australia also arrives in disappointing form, as the Socceroos have just one win in their past seven competitive matches. I think someone fires a blank here, and I’ll be surprised if there’s more than one marker in this one.

FINLAND-MONTENEGRO UNDER 2.5 GOALS, -190

I’m just looking to take the win in this one, as I’m worried that this could finish 1-1 and ruin a play of U1.5. Five of Finland’s past six matches on Finnish soil have ended with two goals or less, and Montenegro has fired a blank in three of its past four matches on foreign soil (and the one exception was against minnow Gibraltar). I’m not predicting the Brave Falcons will go scoreless here (although I can certainly see it happening), but I will call for a low-scoring affair in this one.

BOSNIA-ROMANIA UNDER 2.5 GOALS, -135

We’re getting much better odds on this under, and I’m honestly surprised by that reality, as Bosnia hasn’t been much of a scoring threat in recent matches. The Dragons have scored one goal or fewer in seven consecutive matches, and the only team they’ve scored more than one against over the past three years is Kazakhstan. Romania started well against Montenegro, but once Iulian Cristea went down in the 13th minute, the Tricolorii looked completely lost. Cristea is out, and that likely means Romania’s attack won’t do all that much. They usually are tough to break down, though, so this looks like it could finish 1-0.

TURKEY-LITHUANIA OVER 2.5 GOALS, -140

Turkey can score. The Crescent Stars have found the net in 11 straight matches, and all but one of those saw at least three goals wind up hitting the mesh. Turkey’s defense is rather suspect at times, so a Lithuania goal is at least a possibility. I don’t think we’ll need to count on the Lithuanians scoring here, as I expect Turkey to take advantage of a defense that has given up 29 goals in its past 13 matches (and even allowed San Marino to find the net, their only goal in 2022), but it won’t hurt if they do. I think the goals come here.

RANGERS-LIGHTNING UNDER 5.5 GOALS, -135

I’m still riding with these goaltenders. Both teams are rock-solid at the back, and neither is going to give an inch in a series that’s been a dogfight to this point. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been at his best when his team’s back is to the wall, and Tampa Bay needs to get this one to avoid going back to New York down 3-1. I expect a tight battle that features few good chances for either team.

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