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Moneyline Monday: Best Bets for June 6

We’ve got more soccer on the docket today, and now we’ve seen the majority of these teams in action. National team soccer is seldom easy because players are getting thrown together for a couple weeks at a time, making it difficult to predict how teams will flow together. But after a game, there’s information on how teams are going to look, which makes the task a bit easier.

Of course, some teams remain enigmas. Does France, for example, care at all about the Nations League? Les Bleus sure didn’t look like it against Denmark, but that could also be because they’re set to play Denmark in the World Cup and would rather not show their hand to a side that they know is talented enough to beat them. This is all about strategy, as usual. Here are my best plays for June 6.

SLOVAKIA WIN TO NIL, -118

We’ve got to get some value on this play. Slovakia did not look good on offense at all against Belarus, but the defense was again rock-solid. Kazakhstan managed a win over Azerbaijan, but that was a home match. The Hawks haven’t been nearly as effective on the road, getting shut out in two of their past four matches on the road with one of the exceptions being Moldova. This might not be pretty, but it should work.

ICELAND ML, +220

Don’t read too much into Iceland’s winless record in the Nations League. Thanks to Iceland’s success before Nations League began, the Vikings started in League A and got blitzed in both editions against top sides in the competition. They should have been relegated after year 1, but a format change meant no relegations took place, leaving Iceland to again get its brains beaten in by Belgium, England and Denmark. There’s a massive drop in quality from Belgium and England to Albania. Albania’s not a bad side, but this is a winnable match in Reykjavik and the value is there.

DENMARK ML, +135

I’m not buying Austria as much as I am selling Croatia. I am, however, buying Denmark as the better team based on the performance that Danish Dynamite gave in its opening match. I think the Danes have a great shot to top the group based on beating France, and I think they bring Austria back to earth in this one.

ARUBA ML, -180

Aruba was by far the more dangerous side in the first matchup with Saint Martin, and I don’t expect a repeat of the scoreless draw these teams played out the first time they matched up. I think Aruba and U2.5 holds plenty of value at +255, as I think one goal will be enough to win this one.

AVALANCHE ML, -125

Edmonton has the two best players on the ice in Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Colorado has the next eight best players on the ice and even more depth than that. The Avalanche also have something the Oilers don’t: reliable goaltending when things go wrong. Colorado should complete the sweep tonight.

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