The best thing about summer is the warm weather, but the worst thing is undoubtedly how dang hard it is to find plays. Of course, there’s baseball, but there’s just so much randomness that goes into picking baseball winners that it’s tough to find great options — and I’m saying that after cashing on all four baseball plays yesterday.
Quite frankly, I might have to return to what I did 15 years ago and start following tennis closely again, as Wimbledon’s coming up and that could be worth a few wins. Then again, we just have to get through one more day and we’ve got national team soccer upon us. So let’s try it; here are my best bets for May 31.
OILERS-AVALANCHE U7, -135
I might be dumb for doing this, but I think this might be the time to go contrarian here. Everyone loves Edmonton to find the net after the Oilers torched Calgary, but Colorado has a better blue line than the Flames do and gets the second line change. Plus, these teams played three times in the regular season and actually went under 6 on two of three occasions. The public has a short memory, and I think everyone is forgetting that Edmonton played under four out of seven against the Kings in round 1. I think the number is too high.
DODGERS TTO 5.5, +105
In this game, however, I’m expecting offense. The Dodgers have to be getting frustrated at the fact that they can’t figure out the Pirates, given what Pittsburgh was supposed to be. To their credit, the Pirates have actually been watchable this season, but it has to irritate Los Angeles that it’s 1-3 against Pittsburgh and 32-12 against everybody else. With Mitch Keller going to the mound away from PNC Park, I think the Dodgers whack him.
ATHLETICS TTU 2.5, +110
Frankie Montas might want to check with the clubhouse manager to see if he’s done something to upset the rest of the Athletics, because he is getting no run support when he pitches. The A’s have lost seven in a row with him on the mound, and in five of those seven starts, Oakland has either been shut out or managed a single run. With Houston in town and Cristian Javier on the hill, it’s difficult to see where runs come from for Oakland. I have a feeling Montas will hold the Astros to two runs and still wind up a loser.
WHITE SOX-BLUE JAYS U7.5, -110
It’s tempting to take Kevin Gausman’s strikeout prop at 5.5, but the White Sox don’t tend to strike out often, boasting fewer K’s than anyone but Cleveland. However, the Pale Hose also don’t score a lot, as they have fewer runs than anyone but Detroit. Toronto isn’t scoring either, as the Jays rank just 24th in runs scored on the year. I think both teams hit eventually, but with Lucas Giolito and Gausman respectively on the mound, I don’t think eventually is today.
ORIOLES TTO 3.5, -135
The Orioles’ offense burned me the last time I trusted them, but Baltimore just did some hitting in Boston and has averaged just over four runs a game at Camden Yards. With George Kirby struggling to keep runs from scoring, the opportunity is there for Baltimore to keep up the hitting.