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VFC’s Best Bets 5/24/22

I am choosing not to think about the fact that the Cubs and Reds left eight runners on base through the F5 yesterday and choosing to look at the bright side of the day instead, hitting our +135 value POD. I had a bad read on Oladipo (who played 30 minutes and was the only one contributing to the Heat offense), and that brings our record yesterday to 1-2 (-0.65u). Let’s bounce back today with three winners!

Reds ML (-110) 1u to win 0.91u

I know, I know, this is an absolutely gross play. I really do like the Reds in this spot though. Tyler Mahle has been hot, allowing two or fewer ER in his last three starts and picking up a win in that time. Marcus Stroman has been hot as well but I will side with Mahle here. The Cubs bats were red hot yesterday and I don’t see them following up that act again today. I don’t like to side with the Reds, but this feels like the time to do it.

Mavericks -1 (-110) 1u to win 0.91u

This is another play that might seem gross, but I love the Mavericks tonight. We already saw this Golden State team up 3-0 once in this postseason against the Nuggets drop a game 4. They gave up two games that felt winnable against the Grizzlies as well. I believe in this Warriors team, but I’m not sure I believe in them to win four in a row against a very solid Mavericks squad. Luka has been lights out in games facing elimination even dating back to last year when he had 46/7/14 in a losing effort against the Clippers. He just needs his outside help to step up a little tonight and I think they take this back to Golden State before being eliminated.

Value POD: Hurricanes @ Rangers u5 (+125) 1u to win 1.25u

This is a pretty simple play, this series has totaled 3 (OT), 2 and 3 (including an empty netter) goals through three games. The o/u is set at 5.5 for this game and u5.5 is available at -130, so to get u5 at +125 seems like a steal to me. Shesterkin has been absolutely lights out recently and the Rangers offense is struggling to come alive. I think this is a great price and amazing value so I love this play. If you’re looking for another amazing play for this game, check out my GOAT @PotatoGobbler as he will drop his POD for this game later.

YTD Record: 1-2 (-0.65u)

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