Sunday marks the final day of the Premier League season, and that means 10 matches all played simultaneously to end the year. With that being the case, there’s a lot of great betting opportunities available to close out the English soccer calendar.
As such, I’m going to give a few predictions on each match, along with the ultimate Premier League parlay attempt. Obviously, this is going to be a longshot play with a 10-match attempt, but should it work, it would pay huge dividends. Here are my Premier League plays for May 22.
MANCHESTER CITY AND BTTS, +170
I’d love to be wrong about this to open the door for Corey’s Liverpool side to win the title, but I don’t think City is going to slip up against a Villa side they’ve beaten eight straight times. However, in four of the past five meetings, Villa have found a consolation goal, so I think the value lies with City to concede a late marker while seeing out the title. I like a score of City 3, Villa 1 at +950.
LIVERPOOL WIN TO NIL, -135
Liverpool will play its best to try to steal the title from Manchester City, but I don’t think it will be enough to claim top honors. The Reds need a win and for City to lose or draw, and while I think they handle a Wolves side that has lost 17 of its past 19 visits to Anfield, I don’t think City will cooperate. I expect a final of Liverpool 2, Wolves 0 at +550, leaving the Reds just short of the crown.
ARSENAL WIN TO NIL, +125
This is tough, because I can see Arsenal finding a way to botch this. But they have the right opponent here, as Everton most likely shot its wad in securing safety on Thursday. The Toffees know they’re secure now, and they’re likely going to come in with a hangover. Arsenal might find the winner late, but it should be enough to do the job, and I’ll back the Gunners for a final score of Arsenal 1, Everton 0 at +675.
TOTTENHAM -1.5, -145
It’s hard to see Norwich ruining Tottenham’s attempt to reach the Champions League, given that the Canaries have been dead men walking for several weeks now and were outscored 7-0 in their past two matches at Carrow Road. With Norwich having lost five of its past six home matches by two goals or more, I’ll back Spurs to do the same here and take Tottenham 2, Norwich 0 at +600.
CRYSTAL PALACE ML, +200
The Eagles are unbeaten in their past four games at Selhurst Park and Manchester United have been outscored 16-2 in their past five matches away from Old Trafford. Granted, two of those were at Manchester City and Liverpool, but there was also a 1-0 loss at Everton and a 4-0 slaughter at Brighton. This offers a lot of value, and I might get even more aggressive and take Palace to win to nil at +475. My score here is Crystal Palace 1, Manchester United 0 at +1050.
WEST HAM UNITED AND BTTS, +375
If my Palace pick is correct, the door will be open for West Ham to beat United to sixth place and claim a Europa League place. West Ham have drawn all six of its Premier League matches with Brighton, so the safe play is to take the over or BTTS. But I think the Hammers can get the job done against a Brighton side that’s not really got a lot to play for, and I’ll back West Ham 2, Brighton 1 at +950.
CHELSEA-WATFORD BTTS, +115
We’re in dead rubber territory here, as these teams come in with nothing to play for. However, individual strikers will be looking to get bonuses or make themselves more attractive as transfers (especially in Watford’s case, as none of the Hornets want to make less money in the Championship if they can move to a Premier League side), so goals are likely here. I’ll back a score of Chelsea 3, Watford 1 at +950.
LEICESTER CITY ML, -120
Southampton have lost four of its past five matches and have been incredibly poor for the past month, so as long as Leicester actually cares about the result, it shouldn’t have an issue here. I think it’ll be fairly comfortable for the Foxes, even if the Saints find the net. I’ll back Leicester City 2, Southampton 1 at +750.
BRENTFORD-LEEDS DRAW, +260
The Peacocks need a result of some kind to have any hope at survival, and I think the value lies with them sharing the spoils against Brentford. The Bees have eased their way to a comfortable finish in their first year in the Premier League, and I think they’ll want to avoid defeat against a desperate side. I think a draw suits both sides, and I’ll play Brentford 1, Leeds United 1 at +625.
NEWCASTLE UNITED DOUBLE CHANCE, -150
The Magpies have played very well to close out the season, and they have some motivation to win this match. A win here can see them all the way up to 10th place, which means a nice chunk of change based on their league finish. Newcastle hasn’t lost any of its past five matches to Burnley, and I think the Magpies can actually win the game outright. I’ll take Newcastle 2, Burnley 1 at +950.
THE ULTIMATE PREMIER LEAGUE PARLAY: ARSENAL ML, CHELSEA-WATFORD O2.5, BRENTFORD-LEEDS DRAW, CRYSTAL PALACE DC, LIVERPOOL ML, MANCHESTER CITY ML, LEICESTER CITY ML, TOTTENHAM O1.5 GOALS, WEST HAM ML, NEWCASTLE DC, +16515
For all the reasons given above, this is my parlay dart. A $1 play on this would cash at $165 if it happens, which I think is a solid play for the cost of a scratch ticket. If you want to get a little more aggressive, there are some big numbers to be had.
