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Tuesday Totals: Best Bets for May 3

Totals can be a tricky thing to figure out, especially in baseball, where there isn’t a clock at all to limit the scores. In hockey, totals can also be a challenge because of the desperation that comes with trying to overcome a deficit in the final five minutes. When a team finds itself down 3-2 and the number was 5.5, that’s a bad place to be because all it takes is an empty netter to ruin the under and cost you a bet.

But that said, a great goaltender or a great pitcher can win you a total all by themselves. At the same time, so can a bad one, as the Reds’ pitching staff has shown throughout the year’s first month. With that in mind, here are my top plays for May 3.

PENGUINS-RANGERS U5.5, -105

Whenever the Rangers take the ice, goals tend to be at a premium. Pittsburgh only scored four against New York this year, and with the Penguins’ lineup aging rapidly, I think this is a series where the Rangers have a huge edge. I expect Igor Shesterkin to lock down on Pittsburgh and keep this game under the six-goal total.

FLAMES TTO 3.5, -110

Calgary has been lighting it up as of late, scoring just under four goals a game over the second half of the season. Dallas wasn’t all that impressive at getting into the playoffs and finds itself walking into a tough matchup with a Flames side that has been excellent at home over the past few months. I expect Dallas gets desperate and gives up a few goals to Calgary in this one.

TWINS TTO 3.5, -110

The last time Bruce Zimmermann took the mound, the Orioles gave up 10 runs because of some sloppy defense. When Zimmermann left the game, four runs had scored with him on the mound, yet none of them were his fault. That says that Baltimore’s defense is not to be trusted, and I think that means Minnesota can push a couple of runs across tonight. The Orioles have been the ultimate under team, but that’s in part because of weak bats. I’m taking those out of the equation here to ride the Twins.

REDS TTU 2.5, -120

The Reds haven’t done much hitting at all this season. The offense has shown a bit more life over the past few games against Colorado and San Diego, but I think that’s going to run smack into Brandon Woodruff and result in another low-scoring output for Cincinnati. This is a bad team going nowhere that can’t hit for anything, and I think that leads to a team total under here.

CARDINALS-ROYALS U7, -110

Brad Keller’s got an ERA of under 2 at home and Dakota Hudson has gone under 2 in his past three starts. Throw in the travel across the state for both teams from St. Louis to Kansas City, and you’ve got a recipe for an under to cash, even with this low total. I expect this game could see these teams struggling to push across more than one or two runs apiece.

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