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Pace’s Plays for Thursday, April 28

We had our first losing day of the week on Wednesday because the Chicago Bulls were atrocious from the 3-point line against Milwaukee. The Bucks finished off Chicago 116-100 and I had over 218 points. It looked dead for most of the game but got taken off life support late in the fourth quarter. With 2:41 left to play in the final frame the score was 110-95 in favor of the Bucks. Asking for 14 points in the final three minutes of a blowout game was a dream ask but we only needed three points with 46.9 to go after a Patrick Williams dunk. We ended up getting zero and Wednesday was our first losing day of this week.

Monday: 3-1 (+7.37u) – thanks to a +1049 parlay winner.

Tuesday: 4-3 (+1.2u)

Wednesday: 0-1 (-1u)

Here are my favorite three plays for Thursday, April 28.

Suns ML (1H) | -125

I still think this Phoenix vs. New Orleans series is going to go to a Game 7, so I lean Pelicans ML (+120) here but my favorite play for this game is a first half play. The average halftime score in Games 1-5 have been 56-46 in favor of the Suns.

Game 1: Suns 53, Pelicans 34

Game 2: Suns 61, Pelicans 56

Game 3: Suns 59, Pelicans 48

Game 4: Suns 51, Pelicans 49

Game 5: Suns 59, Pelicans 46

I’m going to stick with the Pelicans get off to slow starts trend and take Suns ML (1H) at -125 for tonight’s contest.

James Harden u6.5 rebounds (-136)

Has James Harden even played in this series? Of course he has but he’s really been a non factor especially on the boards. I like Harden u6.5 rebounds for tonight’s game against Toronto. Harden has yet to haul down more than six rebounds in this series and I expect him to go under this total for the eighth straight time tonight. The last time Harden hit his over rebounds total was on April 3 when he finished with 10 rebounds against Cleveland. I’d suggest jumping on this prop now if you like it because the odds will only get worse throughout the day.

Cubs/Braves u8.5 (-110)

For my final play of the day I’m taking Chicago/Atlanta under 8.5 at -110. The Braves have scored five runs or less in seven of their last eight games. The first game in this series ended 3-1 and now we get a matchup with two very good pitchers in Drew Smyly (Chicago) and Kyle Wright (Atlanta). Wright is 2-0 this season with a 1.06 ERA and Smyly is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA. Both these pitchers have given up 14 hits in a combined 31.2 innings of work. Wright is also Top 10 in strikeouts with 28. This is going to be a very good pitching matchup this evening and with a banged up Braves lineup, I like this total to stay under the number.


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