Turns out I should have just played the under on everything yesterday, as all five of my plays either cashed or pushed on the under, which resulted in a 3-1-1 mark that proved better than that because one of the three wins was a +220 play on Cruz Azul and Pumas going under 1.5 goals in their defense-heavy matchup. Whoever said life is too short to bet the under needs to learn the beauty of a defensive struggle.
Anyway, we’re coming off a nice day of momentum, and there’s a few solid options to close out Wednesday with baseball and soccer plays. Here are my best plays for April 13.
MARINERS ML, +100
Yes, I know, betting the Mariners on the moneyline backfired hard on me the last time I played them, but Seattle is sending Robbie Ray to the mound this time, which should be a much better situation. As long as the M’s can hit against Dallas Keuchel, Ray should be able to give them a chance to win. Any time you can get plus money with an ace against a non-ace, it’s a good idea to take it.
ATHLETICS +1.5, -135
Oakland has played well over its past three games, winning twice and taking Tampa Bay to extra innings in a third. Now the Athletics pitch Frankie Montas, who should be able to bounce back from a tough opening start against Philadelphia. The Rays’ lineup doesn’t have as much power as the Phillies, so I like Oakland to keep this close.
BLUE JAYS-YANKEES O8.5, -110
Jose Berrios did not look like an ace last time out and neither did Gerrit Cole. These teams have yet to hit in the same game, but both pitchers struggled the first time out and haven’t really looked right since July of 2021. I think this total is a very achievable number for these squads to hit.
SEATTLE SOUNDERS-NEW YORK CITY BTTS, -132
New York City has little choice but to go for it, as they must beat the Sounders by two goals or more to have any chance of reaching the CONCACAF Champions League final. Seattle is coming into this mindset looking to find a goal, because a Sounders goal completely changes the equation. NYCFC advances with a 2-0 win over Seattle, but one Sounders goal would mean a two-goal win would only send the match to penalties and two would require a three-goal margin for NYCFC to move advance. I think the Sounders and NYCFC both find the net.
RANGERS/AVALANCHE ML PARLAY, +110
The Rangers are facing an awful Flyers squad and shouldn’t have too many problems there, even on the road. The Avalanche have simply dominated the Kings, winning nine of their past 10 matchups with Los Angeles. I’m riding with the two certain playoff teams to own this matchup.