The less said about Sunday, the better. Both my non-spread picks went just fine, but I missed badly on the Cowboys, the Rams and especially the Dolphins. Luckily, the Patriots at least came through for me, but the day still wasn’t a good one. NFL games remain a tricky beast to solve.
College basketball wasn’t much better on spreads, but I did nail both my total projections, so I’ve got that going for me, at least. This might mean better Tuesdays are coming, but for now, it’s Monday and we’ve got moneyline picks to nail. Here are my picks for January 3.
TOWSON, +100
Towson comes in having won six of its past seven, and the one defeat came against Ohio State by a respectable 11 points. The Tigers shoot the 3-pointer pretty well, and Drexel’s 3-point defense is one of the worst in the nation, ranking 337th in the country. This isn’t a foolproof formula (hello, Montana State), but there’s good reason to think Towson can make the short trip from Baltimore to Philadelphia and leave with the win.
FLORIDA A&M, -145
The bet I really want here is the under (131.5), because these teams are both awful on offense. But there’s one exception to that, and that’s Florida A&M senior MJ Randolph. The Rattlers’ guard dropped 31 on Santa Clara two weeks ago, and Bethune-Cookman isn’t likely to find an answer for him in this contest. The Rattlers should get the job done here.
OREGON, -330
The value really isn’t there with the Ducks on the moneyline, but that’s what I’m playing here. There’s good reason, too: the past 14 meetings between Oregon and Colorado have all been won by the home team. The Ducks have played a much tougher schedule and will likely cover the -7.5, but if you’re just looking for a win, playing the moneyline should be a safe option.
RANGERS, -125
This road trip to the Tri-State area really isn’t going well for Edmonton, but nothing has really been going right for the Oilers as of late anyway, as Edmonton has lost eight of its past 10. The Rangers have hit a bit of a lull recently, but they did just beat Tampa Bay in back-to-back games, so there’s good reason to back New York in the Garden here.
STEELERS, +100
With the Browns now out of contention, there’s little reason to expect Cleveland to come up with a strong showing and ruin what could very well be Ben Roethlisberger’s final game at Heinz Field. Here’s the thing: Roethlisberger has NEVER lost to the Browns at Heinz Field in the regular season (the only defeat came last year in the playoffs), boasting a 17-0 record against the Browns in Pittsburgh. I don’t see an already-eliminated Cleveland ruining Big Ben’s farewell.
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