Note: @kotacapperpace is 147-144-6 this college basketball season.
Oakland (-1.5) vs. Bowling Green – O/U 149.5
One of the games I have circled on my card tonight is Oakland vs. Bowling Green. There’s something fishy about Oakland only being favored by a point and a half considering the Grizzlies are 7-2 against the spread this season.
The Falcons, however, come into this 6:00 pm (CT) contest averaging 77.8 points per game and are riding a two-game winning streak. Last time out, Bowling Green defeated Duquesne 78-70 as a 4.5-point underdog. The Falcons are just 2-5 against the spread this season.
After starting the year 2-2, Oakland has rattled off five wins in a row, which includes wins and covers over Vermont, Rice and Delaware. The Grizzlies also beat Oklahoma State 56-55 earlier this season as a 16.5-point underdog and gave West Virginia a run for its money (60-53) in their season-opener.
This line looks even more sus after looking at some trends. Oakland is 25-12 against the spread in its last 37 games and the Falcons are a horrific 5-24-2 against the spread in their last 31 home games. But Bowling Green has home wins over Chicago State and Milwaukee this season and are 3-1 in its last four games, yet they’ve failed to cover in two out of its last three games.
On paper, this should be a very high scoring affair. If I didn’t have a play on a side, I’d seriously consider taking the over. Oakland have scored 76 points or more in each of their last four games, while Bowling Green has scored 73 points or more in each of its last five games.
Again, this is a fishy line and usually when I find one of those I bet the other way but not tonight. I’ll ride with the Grizzlies -1.5 and hope their unselfishness on offense gets me the win.