Would first like to say my Podcast Not Another CFB Pod dropped today, so check that out. It’s only 13 minutes long. I dropped all my Saturday plays there.
🚨#NotAnotherCFBPod Week 12 is out! @kotacappers
Bit of a schedule change, I’ll drop my picks graphic early tomorrow morning. The picks are in the podcast (only 13 minutes long 🤝)
Tap in and let me know what you think! 👇https://t.co/kUtqTivY84— 🥔 PG🍟 (@PotatoGobbler) November 19, 2021
Let’s talk about Friday night though, cause we have a big card tonight. I found a play I like in every game.
Firstly though I want to lead with the play I love the most and the play I’m in heaviest on.
Air Force -1
The Falcons are a very sound team as you’d expect every military academy team to be. They run the triple option just like you’d expect, and they have some massive advantages over this Nevada defense.
Nevada played a run heavy team in Kansas State early this year and got DOMINATED in the trenches. KState wasn’t even at full health in that game and absolutely boat raced Nevada 38-17.
Air Force also has a very good tackling defense and Nevada absolutely can’t run the ball.
I expect Air Force to be ready for this one dimensional Nevada offense, and control the clock. Nevada will struggle to get off the field on defense and by the end of the game they will be too worn down.
Air Force -1
Teaser:
I told you we had a play on every game tonight, I have cooked up a SURGICAL teaser that involves every game tonight except the Air Force game that we already picked. If you don’t know what a teaser is, it’s kind of like a Parlay but we get to move the line a certain amount of points in our direction.
4-Way 6.5 point Teaser (+240): Under 55 (USM @ LT) + Memphis+15 + Washington State -8 + UNLV+17
(7:00 PM) First off we have the Under in the Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech rivalry game. Southern Miss has an AWFUL offense and LT has been rotating QBs the last few games. College Rivalry Unders are always a good move, and I almost took this one without a teaser, so getting an extra 6.5 points is great.
(8:00 PM) Next we go to Memphis +15. Getting the Tigers at over a 2 TD spread is great because Memphis QB Henigan is back and he is experienced enough to evade some of the Houston pass rush and score enough to keep Memphis in this one. Lookahead spot for Houston after they already clinched a berth in the Conference Championship game.
(8:00 PM) Washington State -8 at home vs Arizona seems fairly safe. Arizona has played better over the last few weeks, but now they go on a long road trip and their season is basically over, they can’t make a bowl. The Cougars on the other hand have been playing hard ever since their Coaching Staff was fired. With a win Washington State would clinch a trip to a Bowl Game ahead of their big Rivalry game with Washington to end the season.
(10:30 PM) Lastly we have the Rebels of UNLV +17. UNLV is not a great team, but they have been fighting all year and are 6-4 ATS. SDSU has had some fairly lucky results along the way, and UNLV gets them at home. SDSU is just 2-4 ATS as a favorite. UNLV’s defense is actually very solid against the run which is pretty much the only offensive weapon SDSU has. With a total at just 41, getting +17 for the home team looks very nice.
Sorry to keep you guys up so late with the Teaser, but I think it’s the play. Let’s get some winners tonight!
