Sometimes, you have to get a bit conservative to create a win, and that’s exactly what we did last night on the NHL parlay, as taking the Ducks and Rangers on the puck line instead of the moneyline meant a win when the Blue Jackets came up with a shootout win and finished the job. Any time you get plus money, it’s a good thing, and I’m quite pleased with a +300 cash.
We’re back at it on Friday, and these are my top plays for November 19.
ARIZONA-WASHINGTON STATE CFB U52, -110
You might want to pair Washington State with the under, because these conditions couldn’t be much worse for Arizona. The forecast calls for 35 degrees and rain changing to snow, and as someone who grew up where that was the norm, there aren’t many situations worse than cold and rainy. Now add in that one of these teams is from sunny Tucson and that these teams don’t score a lot anyway, and you have a perfect recipe for an under and a Washington State win.
NEBRASKA CBB -12, -110
Idaho State is atypical from the Big Sky in that the Bengals are not a good 3-point shooting team. The Bengals also turn the ball over far too often, and Nebraska really needs to get a game like this under its belt in order to get ready for the Big Ten. The under has a chance here because the Huskers don’t shoot it very well, but I’d rather back Nebraska here, as I think the Huskers will speed up the Bengals, force turnovers and get easy baskets.
TOWSON-PITTSBURGH CBB U132, -110
The Panthers couldn’t hit the Monongahela River at 15 feet right now, as they rank 356th in the nation from the free throw line. They’re not much better from behind the arc, which is why they’ve played under in all three of their contests this season. The Tigers aren’t great at shooting by any means either, but they play defense on the perimeter pretty well. Throw in that both of these teams are slower-paced, and the under looks strong.
AVALANCHE -1.5, +165
Seattle is beginning to behave like a non-Vegas expansion team, as the Kraken have lost four straight on the puck line. Colorado has three straight wins by at least two goals, and they should know how to attack ex-Avalanche goaltender Philipp Grubauer pretty well, so I like their chances here.
SUNS -8.5, -110
Legendary North Carolina coach Dean Smith loved to say that a team can always play one great game without a key player. Unfortunately for the Mavericks, there’s a good chance that they used that game up Wednesday against the Suns, when they fought Phoenix the entire way and still lost by seven. The Suns aren’t likely to allow the Mavericks to stay close again without Luka Doncic; Phoenix should get the cover this time around.