Last week wasn’t quite as successful as Week 8, but we had a few good plays from Middle Tennessee and Notre Dame to prevent Week 9 from becoming a total loss. We’re starting to get close to the end of the regular season, which creates some opportunities as teams start to close in on bowl bids or reach the point where they’re playing for only pride.
With that being the case, it’s time to take a good look at these teams and see where we can find an opportunity. Here are my best college football plays for Week 10.
KANSAS STATE -24, -110
What’s the main reason Ron Prince only lasted three years at Kansas State? He was 0-3 against Kansas, which was about the only time the Sunflower Showdown was competitive in the past 30 years. Other than Mark Mangino’s 4-4 stretch against the Wildcats from 2002-09, the Jayhawks haven’t beaten the Wildcats since 1992 and are 1-24 against K-State in games that didn’t involve Ron Prince. The Wildcats tend to blow the Jayhawks out, and this should be no different.
EAST CAROLINA -16, -110
If you listen to our podcast, you know that I’ve been fading Temple all season long. The Owls are a raging dumpster fire this season, and East Carolina is actually playing pretty well as of late. The Pirates only need two wins to reach a bowl, but if they don’t beat the Owls, it’ll be very difficult to find two against Memphis, Navy and Cincinnati. Don’t expect them to waste this opportunity; East Carolina should roll here.
MARYLAND TTU 23.5, -110
I’m not sure what the bookmakers were watching concerning Maryland going up against Penn State, but the idea that Maryland is going to score 24 or more on Penn State when the Nittany Lions have played as well as they have on defense this year seems a fantasy. Throwing out last year’s COVID-addled game, the Terrapins have a grand total of six points in their past three meetings with Penn State. This isn’t likely to go well for Maryland.
AIR FORCE -2.5, -110
Army’s running game is good. Air Force’s is better. The Falcons own the best ground game in the nation and they defend both the run and the pass well, ranking in the top 20 in both categories. This game lends itself well to the under, but with the total being so low (37.5), I’d rather back the more talented team. Air Force hasn’t won the the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy since 2016, but that should change this year.
KENTUCKY ML, +100
I’m not sure why I’m getting the more talented team for plus money when the game is in Lexington, but I’m certainly not complaining. The Wildcats are coming off a bad loss to Mississippi State, but they’ve looked like the better team all season and Tennessee’s only road cover was against an awful Missouri squad. I like Kentucky here.
WASHINGTON +7, -110
Oregon has won three of the past five meetings in this series, but all three of the Ducks’ wins have come by six points or less. Washington blew out the Ducks in the other two matchups, so Washington +7 has been a winner in five straight meetings in this rivalry. I like the Huskies to make it six, even if I think the Ducks will be a narrow winner.