Yesterday wasn’t a great showing for me, in part because Missouri managed to hit a Hail Mary at the end of the first half against Vanderbilt, which ended up pushing that number over the total and costing me the win I needed for a .500 day. And this is one of several reasons why I’m no longer on speaking terms with my alma mater, but that’s beyond the point.
The point is that it’s time for a bounce-back, and we’ve got a full day of NFL action with which to try to make that happen. Here are my best plays for Halloween.
FALCONS -2.5 FIRST HALF, -110
What’s the narrative on the Falcons? Don’t touch them on the full game, because Atlanta will find a way to blow the lead late. Well, it’s not true anymore, as the Falcons are 3-1 ATS in their past four, but they’re still a great first-half team, as they’ve led at halftime in four straight weeks. I’m probably going to play both first half and full game here, as the Panthers are in free fall, but this a great time to get in and get out with Atlanta.
LIONS +3.5, -110
Do you really want to trust the Eagles giving points here? The Lions have actually played a lot better than their 0-7 record, covering in four out of seven contests in 2021, and the Eagles haven’t looked good at all when expected to perform well. Philadelphia played poorly last time out against the Raiders, and the Eagles are likely ripe for an upset here.
BENGALS -11, -110
This seems a little too easy, with the Jets starting Mike White and the Bengals looking outstanding as of the past month, but I’m not going to overthink this one. As long as Cincinnati is playing anything close to a decent game, the Bengals should have no problem getting themselves to 6-2. The Jets did beat the Titans, but that was with Zach Wilson healthy; this shouldn’t be anywhere close to a repeat of that fluke.
TITANS +2, -110
I don’t trust the Colts in this situation. The road team has covered in five of the past six meetings, and Tennessee is essentially playing to put the AFC South to bed here, as they’d essentially be four games up on Indianapolis with a win and no meetings left in 2021. Tennessee has the stronger offense and should be able to win the game outright.
BRONCOS -3, -110
Denver hasn’t looked good this season, but the Broncos should be strong enough to handle Washington at home. The Football Team’s strength was supposed to be its defense, but the WFT defense has been shredded all year long and Teddy Bridgewater should be able to get the job done here. It’s not a great game, but it’s one that should be manageable for Denver to cover.