Moneyline Monday usually tends to come through for us, and Sept. 13 was no different, as the four games that were actually played Monday all resulted in cashes. If you played all four bets, you came out ahead 4.16 units. If you played them as a parlay, you’d have cashed 14.82 units.
Obviously, that won’t happen every time, but we’ll keep trying to make those moments happen as often as possible. Here are my best total plays for Sept. 14.
CHELSEA O2.5, -105
Betting on the Champions League is hard, because you usually aren’t comparing like things. What a team does in its domestic league doesn’t always tell you much about how they’ll do against other leagues. However, in this match, we have some key information, and that’s Zenit’s horrible history from its last Champions League appearance. Zenit gave up at least two goals in all three Champions League road matches last time out, and nothing suggests they’ll do any better against defending champion Chelsea. The Blues should get off to a good start.
LILLE-WOLFSBURG O2.5, +120
Defense is how Wolfsburg gets results, as the German side has given up just one goal in collecting four wins to start the season. But against Lille, the Wolves are going to have to show some attack. Lille sit 12th in Ligue 1 in France, strictly because it has conceded 11 goals in five matches. Lille knows it has to be better than it’s shown so far and will likely press the attack, which should lead to at least a goal or two for Wolfsburg.
REDS O4.5, -120
For whatever reason, Pittsburgh pitchers don’t seem to like pitching in Pittsburgh. That could be a problem in 2023 when the Pirates hope to be contending, but for now, it’s something to exploit. Dillon Peters has an ERA that’s a full two runs higher at PNC Park than it is outside of western Pennsylvania, and the Reds know they can’t afford to blow this opportunity with St. Louis and San Diego just a half-game back. Cincy should score here.
PADRES-GIANTS O9, -110
The over has cashed in six straight meetings between these teams, and now you want to throw Jake Arrieta into the equation? Yes, please. Arrieta appears to have nothing left at this point in his career, and opposing hitters have whacked him all season, whether he’s pitched with the Cubs or Padres. You might want to go with just the Giants’ total if you’re worried about a total wipeout from San Diego, but I don’t trust Anthony DeSclafani either, so I’m good with the total.
RED SOX-MARINERS O8, -110
The pattern of Nathan Eovaldi says this will be a higher-scoring game, as the past six Eovaldi starts have alternated perfectly between over and under. Throw in Tyler Anderson on the mound, and that should be a recipe for some runs, as Anderson has seen four of his past five starts hit the number. I’m a little worried about Seattle’s hitting, but I think the lineups can get to these pitchers.