It’s time to get back to it, and Thursday is a great day to play some parlays. As most sportsbooks like to throw in boosts if you play at least three legs, that’s going to be the kind of parlay I focus on here. With the calendar being what it is today, we’ll include a conservative parlay, an aggressive parlay and an MLB-only parlay. For all of them, the goal is to create a winning bet, however it happens.
CONSERVATIVE PARLAY: AUSTIN FC-SEATTLE UNDER 3.5 GOALS, ORLANDO-PHILADELPHIA BOTH TO SCORE, TIGERS ML, +270
Reason: The Tigers continue to dominate the Rangers, who are easily the AL’s worst road team. Detroit has become a very watchable team with a lot to play for, and Texas has thrown in the towel. I’m likely throwing that on my card separately at -140. I might not do the same on Orlando-Philly BTTS because the value is low at -175, but the likelihood is high. Orlando have scored in 12 straight matches, and four of Philadelphia’s past five road matches have seen both teams find the mesh.
Meanwhile, the clue to a low-scoring match for the Sounders and Austin is that Seattle is an underdog because Seattle isn’t healthy. But the Sounders do know how to defend very well when shorthanded, and Austin isn’t much of an attacking side. The Oaks have played out three scoreless draws in their past eight matches, including one against the Sounders. I’d play under 2.5 goals to get this bet to +410, but I’m not getting greedy here.
AGGRESSIVE PARLAY: ORLANDO-PHILADELPHIA SCORE DRAW, PHILLIES OVER 4.5, MARINERS ML, +2110
Reason: The Phillies are hitting well, and Charlie Morton isn’t doing that great of a job as of late. Morton has been touched for three runs or more in three of his past four starts, and the Phillies have scored at least five runs in six of their past 10 games. The Mariners return home, where Chris Flexen has a 6-2 record with a 1.76 ERA. Given that Flexen didn’t do the job last time against Oakland, this offers promise. Finally, three of the past four meetings between Orlando and Philadelphia have finished in a draw where both teams scored, and three of the Union’s past four matches away from Philly have been score draws. At +320 on its own, that’s the bet I’ll have on my card.
MLB PARLAY: CARDINALS F5 ML, RAYS ML, YANKEES-RED SOX UNDER 11.5, +360
Reason: The Cardinals have been a mess, but Kwang-Hyun Kim has not. In Kim’s past seven starts, he’s gone five innings or more five times, and all five saw no more than one run conceded. Tampa Bay has pounded Cleveland as of late, as the Rays have won 13 of their past 16 matchups with the Tribe. Plus, the Indians have been fading for a while; they’re just 7-13 in their past 20 games. Finally, the Yankees don’t know how to hit, and they really don’t know how to hit in Boston. All nine meetings in 2021 between the teams have gone under 11.5 runs, and the Yankees have scored just seven runs in three games at Fenway Park this year.